This issue of Carbon Market Analyst discusses the on-going debate in Japan over the proposed Basic Law, a possible future emission trading scheme (ETS), and what this might mean for the market and Japanese demand for international carbon units.
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POINT CARBON ANALYSIS - There is currently a perception of significantly reduced momentum within the primary Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) market. Has the CDM already passed the top? This issue of Carbon Market Analyst provides an overview of the recent developments at the various stages of the CDM project pipeline and explains the observed trends. What are the main drivers and barriers in the CDM market now? Is the current pace of inflow of new projects sufficient to meet demand towards 2020?
POINT CARBON ANALYSIS - In this Carbon Market Analyst, we provide an overview of the current secondary CER market. How many CERs are issued; where do they come from, who receives them, where do they go? As the deadline of 30 April for surrendering allowances and credits for 2009 compliance in the EU ETS is near, we also present our expectations of the level of credits that will be surrendered.
In this Carbon Market Analyst, we forecast average carbon prices in a US emissions trading system that is structured according to expected parameters of the forthcoming climate and energy bill authored by Senators Kerry (D-MA), Graham (R-SC) and Lieberman (I-CT). We analyze key design elements are under discussion for the bill and model the impact on prices of reducing the scope of the program to the power sector only.
This report discusses where the international negotiations are likely to go in light of what happened in Copenhagen, now that three months have passed since the conference concluded. What do we see as the most likely architecture for the international climate regime moving forward? Will the Kyoto Protocol and the CDM be part of this regime? Will the EU take on a more stringent emission reduction target than its current pledge?
What are the main trends in the carbon market in 2010? What do market participants and observers expect this year, the next few years and up to 2020? This report presents and analyses the results of our fifth annual Carbon Market Survey, which garnered 4,767 responses in January and February 2010.
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This comprehensive report provides an in-depth overview of expected developments for regional programs. We discuss which states are most likely to go ahead with a carbon market in absence of federal policy and what market design features to expect. We provide detailed data on supply and demand, market balance, and expected compliance costs.
The purpose of this report is to establish a fair price for secondary CERs post 2012, and to explain possible price formation by using scenario analysis. Three different price scenarios are weighted according to the probability that each will materialise, in order to provide a single planning price in 2016.
What will characterise the global carbon market in 2010? What will be the significance of the uncertainty surrounding post-2012 negotiations and US federal cap-and-trade? This CMA provides Point Carbon's forecast for trade volumes in all the world's mandatory GHG trading systems, including the EU ETS, CDM, JI, AAU, RGGI and North American pre-compliance offset markets. We also provide a volume forecast for 2011 and 2012.
This report provides an overview of all existing, upcoming and planned emission trading schemes globally, thirteen ETSs all together. The analysis is structured along 5 key features of the schemes; i) key facts, scope and market size, allocation, flexibility and price regulation and linking.
