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Carbon Market Monitor

POINT CARBON ANALYSIS - In this month's Carbon Market Monitor, we present Carbon Project Manager's price range forecast for primary CERs for the 2010-2012. The analysis includes an assessment of how prices for different project types will develop relative to each other. Plus market comments, data and analysis on the EU ETS, CDM, JI, AAU, RGGI and Australian carbon markets.

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POINT CARBON ANALYSIS - In this issue of CMM we present our assessment of the targets and mitgation actions pledged by Annex I and non-Annex I countries under the Copenhagen Accord. What do the submissions mean for the international negotiations? Plus market comment, data and analysis on the EU ETS, CDM, JI, AAU, RGGI and Australian carbon markets.

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What was the volume exchanged in the world's carbon markets in 2009? What was their value compared to 2008? And what were the most important developments in the carbon market last year? This issue of CMM presents Point Carbon’s review of the carbon markets in 2009. Plus market comment, data and analysis on the EU ETS, CDM, JI, AAU, RGGI and Australian carbon markets.

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How much money will developed countries put on the table to get developing countries on board for a post-2012 agreement? In this CMM issue, we analyse the issue of funding for adaptation and mitigation in developing countries. Plus market comment, data and analysis on the EU ETS, CDM, JI, AAU, RGGI and Australian carbon markets.

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What are the most likely CDM-changes to be implemented? Will these be important changes to the CDM, or will there only be small adjustments? In this CMM issue we look at the current status of the CDM reform process. Plus market comment, data and analysis on the EU ETS, CDM, JI, AAU, RGGI and Australian carbon markets.

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What have been the price drivers of EUAs so far in 2009? In this CMM issue we look at how different market participants' behaviour have influenced EUA prices this year. Plus market comment, data and analysis on the EU ETS, CDM, JI, AAU, RGGI and Australian carbon markets.

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This CMM issue examines the reasons why Point Carbon's CER supply estimate has been reduced significantly so far in 2009, and looks at the details of the current forecast. What are the main uncertainties? Could it go further down, or is the upside now dominating the downside? Plus market comment, data and analysis on the EU ETS, CDM, JI, AAU, RGGI and Australian carbon markets.

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This CMM issue analyses the road that lies ahead of the Waxman-Markey bill, and how its fate in the US Senate could influence the international negotiations for a post-2012 climate change framework. Plus market comment, data and analysis on the EU ETS, CDM, JI, AAU, RGGI and Australian carbon markets.

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CMM July 2009: Mid-year review

This CMM issue provides a review of global GHG emissions trading in the first six months of 2009. We calculate the total volume of transactions in all the world's compliance carbon markets, as well as the value of these transactions. Plus market comment, data and analysis on the EU ETS, CDM, JI, AAU, RGGI and Australian carbon markets.

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What do the numbers on CER use for EU ETS compliance tell us? Why did companies use CERs to the extent they did, and not greater or smaller volumes? This CMM analyses the strategies behind the use of CERs for 2008 compliance. Plus market comment, data and analysis on the EU ETS, CDM, JI, AAU, RGGI and Australian carbon markets.

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What do the submissions handed in to the UNFCCC in April tell us about the outcome in Copenhagen, notably about developing country mitigation? This CMM analyses the market implications of the submissions. Plus market comment, data and analysis on the EU ETS, CDM, JI, AAU, RGGI and Australian carbon markets.

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What are the market implications of the EU ETS emission data released on 1 April? How do the 2008 numbers compare to those of 2007? CMM investigates. Plus market comment, data and analysis on the EU ETS, CDM, JI, AAU, RGGI and Australian carbon markets.

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What is driving primary CER prices during the current economic slowdown? This CMM analyses the key price drivers of primary CERs, looking at why it is possible to have a negative sCER-pCER spread. Plus market comment, data and analysis on the EU ETS, CDM, JI, AAU, RGGI and Australian carbon markets.

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What is driving EUA prices during the current economic slowdown? In particular, how do EUA and oil prices correlate? This CMM analyses the movements in the EUA price since it peaked last summer. Plus market comment, data and analysis on the EU ETS, CDM, JI, AAU, RGGI and Australian carbon markets.

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CMM January 2009: A review of 2008

What was the total transaction volume in the global carbon market in 2008? What was the total value of these transactions? This issue of CMM presents Point Carbon’s assessment. We also provide a review of the main events in the carbon markets in 2008, from the publication of the EU ETS review proposal to the financial crisis and the election of Barack Obama as the next US president. Plus market comment, data and analysis on the EU ETS, CDM, JI, AAU, RGGI and Australian carbon markets.

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CMM December 2008: What we expect from Poznan

What will be the outcome of the Poznan climate summit, which starts today? We give you our prediction. Plus market comment, data and analysis on the EU ETS, CDM, JI, AAU, RGGI and Australian carbon markets.

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CMM November 2008: The EUA-sCER spread

What are the market implications of the link between the UN's international transaction log (ITL) and the EU ETS registry, the CITL? This month's CMM examines the development in the spread between EUAs and secondary CERs, and provides our prediction for where this spread will go in the future. We also welcome a new US president-elect and ask what climate policy may be expected from the incoming administration. Plus market comment, data and analysis on the EU ETS, CDM, JI, AAU, RGGI and Australian carbon markets.

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CMM October 2008: Carbon and the credit crunch

What will be the effect of the credit crunch on the carbon market? CMM investigates, with a special view to the effects on the CDM, EU ETS and post-2012 negotiations. Plus market comment, data and analysis on the EU ETS, CDM, JI, RGGI and Australian carbon markets.

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CMM September 2008

How big will the planned Australian Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme (CPRS) be? Will it link with the EU ETS and CDM/JI markets? This month's CMM presents what we consider the most likely cap under the CPRS and discusses the prospects for direct and indirect linkages with other trading systems. We also introduce new charts for the RGGI and secondary CER markets. Plus market comment, data and analysis on the EU ETS, CDM, JI, RGGI and Australian carbon markets.

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CMM August 2008

Many countries will use carbon credits as part of their Kyoto compliance strategies. This month's CMM provides a progress report on governmental carbon credit procurement programmes. We also ask whether current plans will suffice for Kyoto compliance. Plus market comment, data and analysis on the EU ETS, CDM, JI, Australian and emerging US carbon markets.

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